@LarrySabato


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Larry Sabato
9 hours ago:   Friday Jul 1 - 5:59am
@PeteEarthling @Jay_McGill94 @RachelBitecofer Right now that is the best guess based on the information available. But it’s July 1st.

Larry Sabato
19 hours ago:   Thursday Jun 30 - 8:33pm
RT @Catalist_US: Should Republicans like Rick Scott really be thrilled about this AP headline? We looked into it based on the Catalist voter file and the answer is NO. https://t.co/dgqClm07xU


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Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Thursday Jun 30 - 1:48pm
@snarky_op Nostalgia is 'in'.

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Thursday Jun 30 - 11:59am
@TennantRob Maybe. And if so, that's the end of the American experiment.

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Thursday Jun 30 - 11:59am
@SyncPol We can understand cowardice, yes, but don't ever ask us to respect it.

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Thursday Jun 30 - 11:40am
Don’t miss this. The Washington Examiner is a conservative newspaper: “Trump is a disgrace.” Why this view isn’t universal is mystifying. https://t.co/BBUYIw7mk1

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Thursday Jun 30 - 11:29am
@Gr8TweetNTheSky @DashDobrofsky @CookPolitical So far Dobbs has had a noticeable pro-D effect, but will it last? Everyone has an opinion but we’ll have to see.

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Thursday Jun 30 - 11:26am
@tgagemurphy Ha. Good one.

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Thursday Jun 30 - 11:26am
@LSTrip44 FOX didn’t show the first one live but they’ve aired the others.

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Thursday Jun 30 - 11:16am
Has there ever been a less surprising headline? “Ratings show Fox News viewers tuning out Jan. 6 hearings” | AP News https://t.co/qaLa8EY658

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Thursday Jun 30 - 9:12am
@MashekJim Holding my fire for now.

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 9:27pm
@_580303462788 Not sure they can afford me.

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 8:54pm
@RickFreedland Thanks but I'm on the wagon.

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 8:09pm
@RickFreedland 57 new reasons to despise him.

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 8:04pm
@PaulJacobsMedia @TheRickWilson I don’t think Garland is the fistfight type.

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 8:03pm
Trump Denies Ever Knowing Ketchup https://t.co/qynBKhk4zj via @NewYorker

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 5:10pm
@MahGill @asheinin You have my sincere sympathy.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 3:12pm
@SocSecBlog No wine before its time.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 3:12pm
@MahGill @asheinin Nuance may work with the parents too.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:49pm
@DavidLMeeks @KatherineWadde8 @asheinin I'm wearing a white shirt, so please, no ketchup.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:48pm
@slothce @HerschelWalker That's what people on here have been saying.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:47pm
@RocNYBob The letters D and R are very, very powerful these days.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:46pm
@nrajag Ouch!

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:45pm
@DavidLMeeks @KatherineWadde8 @asheinin Go sit in the corner. I'll tell you when you can leave.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:45pm
@campagfan @asheinin Some days I tone it down, and some days I don't.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:43pm
@DrJCottrell @asheinin Any parent will tell you a kid is worth at least one point.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:42pm
@MrAnthony81 Never eliminate any possibility until you have to.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:41pm
@MahGill @asheinin You promised nuance. :)

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:40pm
@Effective_Insti We must have had the same nun.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:39pm
@7PillarWisdom Doubtful.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:36pm
@KatherineWadde8 @asheinin Not fair. I also barely know what day it is.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:35pm
@DavidLMeeks Penance: 10 lashes with a wet noodle.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:31pm
@mgcanmore You are being very bad.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:31pm
@PipsFunFacts True, but for how long?

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:31pm
@SnowdenJim I lost count.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:30pm
@adammscotch Anything's possible post-Dobbs.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:30pm
@bgianelli So far we've seen a lot of disconnect from Biden % and other D candidate % in competitive races. Will it continue or will the gap disappear/shrink as election day approaches? No one can say.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:27pm
@asheinin I never "believe" any poll these days, without lots of confirmation. 10 points seems high to me. But Walker has had a very rocky few weeks.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:21pm
@Bayl3rat At least on the resume.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:15pm
@CanisPundit Give them time. Don't crowd them.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 2:12pm
NEW: Warnock (D) 54%, Walker 44%. In January Warnock had only a 1% lead. https://t.co/NzesTzBmQ2

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 1:17pm
Americans Discuss Whether Biden Should Run Again ⁦@TheOnionhttps://t.co/N0VfRkdxQv

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 12:19pm
@AdamMcquade Or just to destroy.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 11:34am
@AdamMcquade Seize the voting machines!

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 11:33am
@Krishan_A_Patel @JMilesColeman Everyone has a dark side...

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 11:32am
@AdamMcquade If he'd tried to mobilize friendly military units, we'd really have been in trouble.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 9:44am
@israelidoc78 Let’s wait until they’re over. And see what DOJ does.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 9:43am
@DavidLMeeks Correct. I don’t use ketchup. Mustard either.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Wednesday Jun 29 - 9:42am
@jhbhoos @7PillarWisdom Hasn’t happened in 100 years. Not likely to happen either. No incentive for incumbents to dilute their power and shrink their districts.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Tuesday Jun 28 - 9:40pm
RT @kkondik: Crystal Ball Gubernatorial Rating Change - Illinois Governor Likely D to Safe D. Gov. JB Pritzker (D) and allies spent a lot to submarine stronger general election candidate Richard Irvin, and conservative state Sen. Darren Bailey (R) easily wins the primary

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Tuesday Jun 28 - 9:35pm
We're seeing more of this from relatives of elected officials. Rep. Paul Gosar (R-AZ)'s siblings are also prominent examples. https://t.co/DRptsz67P1

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Tuesday Jun 28 - 8:32pm
Cassidy Hutchinson’s Testimony Should Be the End of Donald Trump https://t.co/UsctQMUpQU via @NewYorker

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Tuesday Jun 28 - 2:28pm
@Ned_James2 Wannabe insurrectionists.

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Tuesday Jun 28 - 2:16pm
The phrase "out of control" doesn't even begin to describe President Trump on January 6. Trump wanted to lead the insurrection himself, and he tried to strangle his lead Secret Service agent because the agent did the right thing. #January6Hearing https://t.co/UQPFl2Nt6c

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Tuesday Jun 28 - 8:02am
RT @BryanDawsonUSA: NEW from me: "The Bipartisan Gun Control Bill: What’s in the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act and what does it mean for gun safety?" >>> https://t.co/drHGclGLdA #GunViolence #GunSafety #GunOwnerForGunReform #ArmedWithReason https://t.co/PkdFrbRIzz


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Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 8:41pm
@occupytheport @JeffCioletti MyLarryPillow will be filled with gravel.

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 8:37pm
@Rigel9000 @KDbyProxy I will do my duty if asked.

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 7:46pm
@DonKeehotey Things have deteriorated so badly.

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 7:46pm
RT @bluevirginia: The #January6thCommittee has really exceeded expectations, both in terms of content/substance and production. Tomorrow could be dramatic - and important - so stay tuned! https://t.co/3LdELDvxyd h/t @LarrySabato https://t.co/imMZ73zbZv


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Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 7:45pm
@KDbyProxy Good idea!!

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 7:40pm
@martinhopkins39 And that’s ok.

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 7:39pm
@MikeDAm05642617 I do!

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 7:37pm
@greighellipsis God yes.

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 7:35pm
@UWMoose Hoping for a surprise.

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 7:34pm
@DonKeehotey My wonderful Dad was loyal to Glenn Miller, lost during WWII, and every Sunday he played the albums.

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 7:32pm
@snboyle @occupytheport I’m fresh out of wisdom. Supply chain problems.

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 7:28pm
@martinhopkins39 At some point they’ll want media to know to build the audience with frenzied chatter.

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 7:27pm
@DonKeehotey Start with Glenn Miller.

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 7:26pm
@adorablesmudgie Perfect for @TheOnion.

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 7:25pm
@BastaGal I want some.

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 7:22pm
@DonKeehotey In a heavenly studio.

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 7:21pm
@occupytheport @snboyle Agree. I finally realized this in August 2017.

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 7:16pm
I love it that this spectacular #January6thCommitee, with dozens of legislators and staffers, has proven that somebody(bodies) in Washington can keep a big important secret for hours or even days. You all rock!

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 7:12pm
Norm, you devil. https://t.co/8eOc518NIg

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 7:09pm
@occupytheport I hope we aren’t. I fear we are. But everyone knows old codgers are easily frightened. :)

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 7:08pm
RT @SyncPol: Sharp analysis by @kkondik for @LarrySabato and @Center4Politics Chances are the fallout over Dobbs is a net positive for Democrats. But it's a deflection of potential GOP Midterm wave, not insuperable barrier. Biden unpopularity and history still key. https://t.co/uuReWgCJTZ

Larry Sabato
4 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 11:50am
@bobob1618 @tbooth_98 @bwolpe @SimonJackman @USSC @dtsmith_sydney @rgloveroz Possible, sure.

Larry Sabato
4 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 11:49am
@the_transit_guy @tbooth_98 @bwolpe @SimonJackman @USSC @dtsmith_sydney @rgloveroz Soon. But reevaluation will be ongoing. Will the new energy for Dems continue? Will the generic poll shift be sustained. Certainly not clear yet.

Larry Sabato
4 days ago:   Monday Jun 27 - 11:44am
@tbooth_98 @bwolpe @SimonJackman @USSC @dtsmith_sydney @rgloveroz Somewhat similar to new CBS poll. But does the generic ballot change towards Ds last? No telling yet.

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Sunday Jun 26 - 2:40pm
@7PillarWisdom A flawed system is at the heart of our troubles.

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Sunday Jun 26 - 2:39pm
@NormOrnstein Here we go again.

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Sunday Jun 26 - 2:38pm
@Brian_C_Broadus Everything old is new again.

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Sunday Jun 26 - 2:35pm
@Raving_Sanity Abortion, guns, marriage equality, climate crisis, and so much more. Sectional? More demographic, some geographic instead. Not Civil War II but strife that flares up a good deal, violence included.

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Sunday Jun 26 - 11:30am
@AdamMcquade The miracle was that 48 of 50 Senate Dems held together.

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Sunday Jun 26 - 11:26am
@AdamMcquade Aided by an archaic system that prevents majoritarian rule, even when the majority is large.

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Sunday Jun 26 - 11:22am
@JabbaNoBadda How could they not have?

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Sunday Jun 26 - 11:21am
@BryanNehman Let’s all hope it’s (relatively) bloodless.

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Sunday Jun 26 - 11:19am
@AdamMcquade Trump’s corruption and perfidy greatly accelerated the deterioration.

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Sunday Jun 26 - 11:14am
@martinhopkins39 Longer than a few.

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Sunday Jun 26 - 11:10am
@mgcanmore Or even more, the 2024 election.

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Sunday Jun 26 - 11:08am
@LeftOfMainSt This guy from Charlottesville watched an episode of it.

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Sunday Jun 26 - 11:06am
@AdamMcquade Here, it feels like the US is dissolving—maybe in slow motion, but happening nonetheless.

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Sunday Jun 26 - 11:04am
@barbarikon Disproportionately, yes. Plenty of guns everywhere, unfortunately.

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Sunday Jun 26 - 10:52am
I hope this is wrong; I fear it is right. “With the end of Roe, the US edges closer and closer to civil war” | Stephen Marche | The Guardian https://t.co/1IlLhkNHAj

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Sunday Jun 26 - 6:24am
@ChrisBastianBkl Helps them. How much varies by state.

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Sunday Jun 26 - 6:22am
@ToSayBoldly @kkondik @JMilesColeman Already people are sorting themselves in this fashion when they move, if choice is part of the equation.

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Saturday Jun 25 - 5:08pm
@ratemyskyperoom True, true.

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Saturday Jun 25 - 5:07pm
RT @ratemyskyperoom: There’s a chance you may have an inherent bias… https://t.co/Ur5m37PJg7 https://t.co/txGkSCxWl1


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Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Saturday Jun 25 - 4:59pm
Required reading, @ratemyskyperoom https://t.co/nQUXmahvNr

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Saturday Jun 25 - 4:57pm
@SocSecBlog A very wise person wrote this.