@LarrySabato


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Larry Sabato
8 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 11:31pm
@awelch744 Well, he knows to stay away from tanks this time.

Larry Sabato
12 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 7:38pm
@sarvay No one can ever take MN and DC away from him.

Larry Sabato
12 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 7:37pm
@davidgballard Haven't you heard? Optimism is dead. ;)

Larry Sabato
12 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 7:28pm
@tptroll If you were a teacher, you'd be a tough grader...

Larry Sabato
18 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 1:30pm
RT @kkondik: Crystal Ball: @JMilesColeman with a soft lean to John Bel Edwards in Louisiana, although whatever advantage JBE may have is not overwhelming https://t.co/hxGq1M2OR2

Larry Sabato
18 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 1:30pm
RT @kkondik: Crystal Ball: @AlanIAbramowitz finds that Medicare for All-backing House candidates performed worse than non-M4A backers in 2018 - https://t.co/B0MjwwcDgM

Larry Sabato
18 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 1:23pm
@nutco @loujacobson @ChazNuttycombe I've voted for nutty candidates. Quite a few.

Larry Sabato
18 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 1:22pm
@hiramhadley @votedforkodos15 @KDbyProxy William Jennings Bryan was a guest in my home once--long ago, before I lived here!--and he gave a speech on the @UVA Lawn to thousands. His booming voice needed no amplification.

Larry Sabato
18 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 1:19pm
@loujacobson @nutco @ChazNuttycombe Those two seem to get along pretty well!

Larry Sabato
18 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 1:17pm
@JimBMcPherson The very idea of voter suppression is deeply anti-democratic.

Larry Sabato
18 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 1:17pm
@tonywendice1954 He's been in and out already this cycle.

Larry Sabato
18 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 1:16pm
@IAmKrishanPatel You're so suspicious.

Larry Sabato
18 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 1:15pm
@MichaelCalifra Pass.

Larry Sabato
18 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 1:15pm
@pasracic Endorse Patrick and stick it to his loyal VP Biden? Doubtful.

Larry Sabato
18 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 1:13pm
@mdlfcrss Well, the Dem will probably win the popular vote--and Gore has experience.

Larry Sabato
18 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 1:12pm
@GabeBorelli Register this trademark now. May come in handy.

Larry Sabato
18 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 1:10pm
@rsgaddy18 You give me hope.

Larry Sabato
18 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 1:09pm
@tonywendice1954 Long dead!

Larry Sabato
18 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 1:09pm
Lawsuit could purge 234,000 names from Wisconsin voter rolls https://t.co/SUwFfE4MHf

Larry Sabato
19 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 12:22pm
@pc2005 Carter has built more houses for the poor than ALL of the other candidates in both parties put together.

Larry Sabato
19 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 12:21pm
@mel_huang Slogan: "A potatoe in every pot!"

Larry Sabato
19 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 12:20pm
@jpitney If Mondale won't run, Kirk Douglas could be Jimmy Carter's new runningmate.

Larry Sabato
19 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 12:18pm
@joshdecker97 YES! As long as it doesn't cost me any money.

Larry Sabato
19 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 12:17pm
@PaulWartenberg God bless you. My next door neighbor is the University Librarian. Except for his late loud parties, he and his wife are terrific.

Larry Sabato
19 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 12:15pm
@rsgaddy18 I almost used 'Why Not the Best?' but I figured few would remember. Thanks for being old, I mean, having a good memory.

Larry Sabato
19 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 12:13pm
@johnp3535 I think he sold that long ago.

Larry Sabato
19 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 12:11pm
@KDbyProxy Thinking back on our past Presidents, no, not in all cases.

Larry Sabato
19 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 12:10pm
@joshdecker97 The news will cheer him up and get him out of the hospital sooner!

Larry Sabato
19 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 12:09pm
@EggerDC But what YOU can do for Deval Patrick, and what together we can do for all of humankind. [Copyright infringement]

Larry Sabato
19 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 12:07pm
@PaulWartenberg I was afraid of this. Smart people are supplying answers.

Larry Sabato
19 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 12:06pm
@BrianCoy Damn good additional questions!

Larry Sabato
19 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 12:06pm
@joshtpm Only if the pollsters are rounding up.

Larry Sabato
19 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 12:06pm
@AToflinski The odds are always heavily against a brokered convention. But there's a small possibility of one, which will keep us speculating as long as possible.

Larry Sabato
20 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 12:04pm
@RickFranzblau It's 2 am somewhere.

Larry Sabato
20 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 12:03pm
Democrats could do worse. Jimmy Carter is constitutionally eligible for another term, and his VP Walter Mondale is still around too! https://t.co/CG8HLO0Jyh

Larry Sabato
20 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 11:59am
Deval Patrick for President. I'm torn between 2 questions: (1) WHY? and (2) WHY NOT? This mental tug-of-war is tearing me apart. Well, not really.

Larry Sabato
22 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 9:15am
RT @kkondik: Crystal Ball: @JMilesColeman with a last look at his beloved home state's gubernatorial race, and some clues for the future from Virginia's recent election results https://t.co/hxGq1M2OR2

Larry Sabato
22 hours ago:   Thursday Nov 14 - 9:15am
RT @kkondik: Crystal Ball: @AlanIAbramowitz on the impact of Medicare for All on the 2018 results. There is some indication that backers paid an electoral penalty - https://t.co/B0MjwwcDgM

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Wednesday Nov 13 - 2:10pm
@cintigal51 I'm no hero, just an old guy who can't believe what my country has become.

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Wednesday Nov 13 - 1:49pm
Exactly right. This is an inexcusable embarrassment for both Bidens, period. Thank goodness the Trump children have avoided feathering their own nests and shunned even the appearance of a conflict of interest. https://t.co/Y66IZUghLG

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Wednesday Nov 13 - 1:35pm
@HankSilverberg The congressman is an able guy but if that's what he said, he couldn't be more wrong.

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Wednesday Nov 13 - 12:52pm
Democrats land damning new evidence in impeachment testimony https://t.co/l8Gl7VFyqw via @politico

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Wednesday Nov 13 - 10:45am
RT @RaySuarezNews: @LarrySabato @neeratanden AND...since most people won’t watch, the fact that many media outlets don’t feel duty bound to show multiple sides of key questions, it won’t be as easy to get a full portrait of the hearing. (And GOP leaders saying they aren’t going to pay attention? Yikes.)

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Wednesday Nov 13 - 10:43am
@stephenrhymer I advocate KISS even in college lectures!

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Wednesday Nov 13 - 10:42am
@pc2005 It was a James Bond double-agent era.

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Wednesday Nov 13 - 10:31am
Yep, Devin Nunes went there. He's attacking (as Democratic stooges) witnesses Amb. Bill Taylor and State Dept's George Kent--highly respected professionals who have served presidents of both parties with distinction. #ImpeachmentHearings

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Wednesday Nov 13 - 10:21am
A very clear, direct, easy-to-follow opening statement from Chairman Adam Schiff. #ImpeachmentHearings

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Wednesday Nov 13 - 9:03am
RT @AshaRangappa_: I and @renato_mariotti discussed this exact point last night on his #OnTopic podcast. We are in a different media ecosystem than we were in with Clinton/Nixon. The same message needs to be repeated over and over. K.I.S.S., Democrats! https://t.co/aiCbFzKWom

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Wednesday Nov 13 - 8:43am
It’s not 1973 anymore. Not 1998 either. Most people will watch only bits & pieces. Keep the storyline simple. Repetition of main arguments and conclusions is key. Target audience is the public, not legal pundits. #ImpeachmentHearings

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Tuesday Nov 12 - 11:17pm
@wgrzMichael @realDonaldTrump If GOP leaders have denounced Stephen Miller, they've done so in a whisper on their back porch at midnight.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Tuesday Nov 12 - 5:40pm
@hmpersinger3 It’s not to force Trump, it’s for the public to consider when they run for re-election in 2020

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Tuesday Nov 12 - 3:25pm
@TheGussReport @MarkSanford @GOP @POTUS @marwilliamson @GovBillWeld Very little, no doubt.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Tuesday Nov 12 - 3:22pm
@DaveBethke If you run, we'll be there.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Tuesday Nov 12 - 2:52pm
@jmd948 It's all in writing.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Tuesday Nov 12 - 2:36pm
Democratic field of presidential contenders is expanding. Republican field of presidential contenders is contracting. In a saner world, the reverse would be true. https://t.co/j7g2zXYUbS

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Tuesday Nov 12 - 2:33pm
How is this acceptable in ANY White House? Disgusting and disgraceful. Every member of Congress, both parties, should be asked to respond on the record: Should #StephenMiller stay or should he go? https://t.co/aUTN3VKtLg

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Tuesday Nov 12 - 8:34am
@HereticalFacts No, because historically this isn’t late. Prior to the 1970s, large majority of campaigns didn’t really start until the election year.

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Tuesday Nov 12 - 8:32am
@awelch744 Each gets “Flavor of the Month”.

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Tuesday Nov 12 - 7:38am
#DevalPatrick and #MichaelBloomberg are being welcomed to the D race with about the same level of enthusiasm.

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Tuesday Nov 12 - 3:11am
Deval Patrick, Ex-Governor of Massachusetts, Is Considering 2020 Presidential Race https://t.co/4t4Oc0wdz0

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Monday Nov 11 - 2:05pm
Women Still Underrepresented in Elected Office at All Levels of Government, Report Says https://t.co/dKTkVyQ5Wl via @routefifty

Larry Sabato
4 days ago:   Sunday Nov 10 - 7:39pm
@vcczar @RachelBitecofer @NateSilver538 No way does it happen that quickly. Almost all the top party leaders have been silent or public cheerleaders.

Larry Sabato
4 days ago:   Sunday Nov 10 - 1:24pm
@LisaToddSutton Thank you.

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Saturday Nov 9 - 9:44pm
@vcczar All of the above.

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Saturday Nov 9 - 3:32pm
@julianzelizer @FWhitfield @CNNnewsroom @CNNOpinion @WilsonSchool Good conversation, Julian!

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Saturday Nov 9 - 8:33am
@AlbertPollard It’s a collector’s item. And you’re the sole collector. There’s a missing word in the text on the very first page. That’s how I learned the importance of careful proofreading.

Larry Sabato
6 days ago:   Friday Nov 8 - 9:46pm
@OReillyO This is far fetched. The good news: You could write a novel.

Larry Sabato
6 days ago:   Friday Nov 8 - 6:33pm
@ChazNuttycombe I enjoyed our talk. You know your politics!

Larry Sabato
6 days ago:   Friday Nov 8 - 2:29pm
THIS is how #MichaelBloomberg could help the Democrats and the nation best: "Bloomberg Offers Trump Ten Billion Dollars to Leave White House by End of Day" https://t.co/K1XO9kOMIg

Larry Sabato
6 days ago:   Friday Nov 8 - 1:47pm
@awelch744 It's a life goal we can still reach.

Larry Sabato
6 days ago:   Friday Nov 8 - 1:46pm
@MckinleyDHughes No one's afraid of me. Even my students, and I grade them.

Larry Sabato
6 days ago:   Friday Nov 8 - 1:46pm
@KrisKetzKMBC @HeidiHeitkamp @JoeforIndiana @clairecmc All three of them said that, and had the poll numbers to prove it.

Larry Sabato
6 days ago:   Friday Nov 8 - 1:45pm
@DKarol Like a New York slice with a side of grits.

Larry Sabato
6 days ago:   Friday Nov 8 - 1:39pm
@inthewry It seems obvious--yet I'm reading the most fantastical scenarios today...In the Trump era some need to be constantly distracted.

Larry Sabato
6 days ago:   Friday Nov 8 - 1:35pm
@Frodo60 @jwmanley Actually, just chicken.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Nov 7 - 9:06pm
@JeffEKahn One tenth of one percent.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Nov 7 - 9:02pm
@salrasa @HeidiHeitkamp @JoeforIndiana @clairecmc The senators were terrific. Students learned a lot.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Nov 7 - 9:00pm
@jwmanley At least I realize I’m too old.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Nov 7 - 8:59pm
@MicahRucci @UVA @HeidiHeitkamp @JoeforIndiana @clairecmc Very nice. Glad you attended.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Nov 7 - 7:19pm
Former Sens. @HeidiHeitkamp @JoeforIndiana & @clairecmc agree Kennedy resignation from U.S. Supreme Court doomed their reelection campaigns. Suggest it was no accident & another resignation may be looming for 2020. https://t.co/C7gwd578iX


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Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Nov 7 - 7:02pm
Pleasure to welcome to @UVa @Center4Politics tonight former U.S. Senators @clairecmc @JoeforIndiana & @HeidiHeitkamp. https://t.co/audqksznSV


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Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Nov 7 - 6:10pm
@Mush47 No, no, that's a faculty meeting.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Nov 7 - 6:09pm
@rsgaddy18 Don't forget "the billionaire next door". Hey, let's write a book!

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Nov 7 - 6:08pm
@pc2005 @MichaelCalifra "next" deadline.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Nov 7 - 6:02pm
Because 25 Democratic candidates isn't enough. https://t.co/GQdrZfH5KN

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Nov 7 - 5:59pm
Now I'm even more excited to be heading over to moderate our panel on "The Future of the Democratic Party" with former Sens. Claire McCaskill (MO) Heidi Heitkamp (ND), and Joe Donnelly (IN). First Q will now be about #MichaelBloomberg4President. Then onto the serious stuff. ;)

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Nov 7 - 5:54pm
@MichaelCalifra First deadline to get on primary ballot.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Nov 7 - 5:46pm
Michael Bloomberg for President? He’s apparently jumping in—as a D candidate, not an independent. Bad news for Tom Steyer. Now there’ll be a split in the billionaire vote.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Nov 7 - 3:24pm
@J_J_E_ @bpmehlman Trump's approval rating among Republicans is 85-90% in most polls. I've never seen a good random-sample poll with the number anything close to 98%.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Nov 7 - 3:22pm
@mel_huang Mostly but by the early '60s there were a handful of progressives, almost all from the Norfolk area and NoVa--the urban part. Ex: Del. Henry Howell (D-Norfolk).

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Nov 7 - 3:20pm
@Bison4Life @UVABasketball They wouldn't let me out of my locked padded room, even though I requested it.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Nov 7 - 3:14pm
@CubanBandLeader I'm the one with the mustache. I'm consistent.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Nov 7 - 1:14pm
Further research reveals that the last time Fairfax had an all-D delegation to the VA House of Delegates was 1965-1967 (not 1967-69)--so OVER a half-century ago. Two Rs in a multi-member district covering Fairfax, Fairfax City, & Falls Church won in 1967. A long time ago.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Wednesday Nov 6 - 7:54pm
@crauber Minus the assassinations too.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Wednesday Nov 6 - 12:48pm
@dankennedy_nu @CharlesPPierce Picky, picky, picky. I didn’t have enough spaces left!

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Wednesday Nov 6 - 12:43pm
@CharlesPPierce Just told my morning class that. No one had heard of “Four Dead in Ohio”. (We were discussing Vietnam.) No one had hear of Crosby, Stills, and Nash. What are they teaching these kids today? :)

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Wednesday Nov 6 - 12:39pm
@BadFoxGraphics What it is ain’t exactly clear.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Wednesday Nov 6 - 12:33pm
@ProfHagle But every guy for Gene McCarthy in ‘68 got a haircut. “Clean for Gene” was the motto—no hippies wanted!

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Wednesday Nov 6 - 12:28pm
When was the last time gargantuan Fairfax County, VA had an all-Democratic delegation to the House of Delegates? Answer: 1967-69, a half-century ago. With the defeat of the last current R, it’s back to the sixties. #VALeg #VAelections

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Wednesday Nov 6 - 10:49am
Juli Briskman, Virginia cyclist who flipped off Trump, wins Loudoun County seat representing his golf club - The Washington Post https://t.co/YQiUAsaZP2