@LarrySabato


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Larry Sabato
19 hours ago:   Friday Jun 23 - 4:11pm
Almost all the recent US Ambassadors to the Court of St. James were mainly picked for their big $$ gifts to a POTUS. Sad! 2/2

Larry Sabato
19 hours ago:   Friday Jun 23 - 4:09pm
5 future POTUS, 3 VPs-to-be, JFK's father, Lincoln's son Robert and so many distinguished career diplomats were US Ambassador to UK. 1/2

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Thursday Jun 22 - 5:35pm
Attempts have been made since the 1970s--but no luck as yet. Who would bet against future technology, though? https://t.co/Z7xtGLPbTq

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Thursday Jun 22 - 5:07pm
Unbelievably sexist. Yet this was the norm then in and out of the power circles. Check out the TV comedy shows of... https://t.co/64R1oTByZs

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Thursday Jun 22 - 5:07pm
Unbelievably sexist. Yet this was the norm then in and out of the power circles. Check out the TV comedy shows of t… https://t.co/K6feodmLTU

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Thursday Jun 22 - 2:16pm
(2/2) If sinister forces can erase a tape, maybe they can create a tape? https://t.co/Dm6S5nrbCa

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Thursday Jun 22 - 2:14pm
Did anyone tape Trump? White House is full of ghosts. Don't forget the "sinister force" that erased 18 1/2 minutes of a key Nixon tape. 1/2

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Thursday Jun 22 - 1:59pm
RT @chucktodd: Per solid source: at least 3 GOP sens (perhaps more) plan to announce public opposition to McConnell health bill later today…

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Thursday Jun 22 - 1:12pm
RT @geoffreyvs: Here's a chart of pres vote share by VA region (plus the rest of the state), 1968-2016. NoVA done changed the game (i.e. th…

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Thursday Jun 22 - 1:12pm
RT @kkondik: 1. There's a Reagan-Trump contrast I didn't make in my piece today that I wanted to throw out there - and that is curioisity i…

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Thursday Jun 22 - 10:50am
Crystal Ball: @BobbyBigWheel on the 2006 cycle & how it shows why #GA06 special election loss stings for Democrats. https://t.co/bSPOdn0SNv

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Thursday Jun 22 - 10:47am
Crystal Ball: @kkondik reviews @henryolsenEPPC's new book, explores working-class Republicanism, Reagan & Trump.… https://t.co/AHAVThzm1j

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Thursday Jun 22 - 10:47am
Crystal Ball: @kkondik reviews @henryolsenEPPC's new book, explores working-class Republicanism, Reagan & Trump.... https://t.co/W2qVwlqa6y

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Thursday Jun 22 - 6:01am
Today's Crystal Ball: Reagan, Trump, and working-class Republicanism. Plus, why the GA-6 special result stings... https://t.co/ZjOLC8qu6O

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Tuesday Jun 20 - 2:05pm
Nothing will bring Otto back but rough justice will be achieved when No.Korea's vile regime falls. Eventually it will, one way or another.

Larry Sabato
4 days ago:   Monday Jun 19 - 4:48pm
Rest In Peace, Otto Warmbier. Thank goodness your family had a little time with you before the end. You'll always be a part of @UVA.

Larry Sabato
4 days ago:   Monday Jun 19 - 4:46pm
@EvanMillward @WCPO Rest In Peace, Otto Warmbier. Thank goodness your family had a little time with you before the… https://t.co/5ZvQKDO0Lg

Larry Sabato
6 days ago:   Sunday Jun 18 - 10:57am
This is wrong, of course, but the air is thinner up at Camp David, plus all fathers deserve a mulligan today. https://t.co/6qjQCTTFgD

Larry Sabato
6 days ago:   Saturday Jun 17 - 11:15pm
Clinton's campaign can now rest easier. P.M. May's plan was worse. Tories actually got Labour voters to the polls.https://t.co/l5d5RAsRD6

Larry Sabato
6 days ago:   Saturday Jun 17 - 1:27pm
Hope this is still true (from Ford's inaugural): "Our Constitution works; our great Republic is a gov't of laws and not of men." #Watergate

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Friday Jun 16 - 3:41pm
RT @BillKristol: I'm old enough to remember Newt Gingrich arguing that President Clinton should be impeached for...obstructing justice. htt…

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Friday Jun 16 - 3:40pm
RT @jonlovett: Classic routine. Get up. Coffee. Gym. Hire outside counsel as special prosecutor probe widens. Oatmeal. https://t.co/UH1cp5g

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Friday Jun 16 - 3:36pm
I preferred the paean you offered at Cabinet the other day. That was even more full-throat-ed sycophancy. That... https://t.co/c1Dq1UYSkC

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Friday Jun 16 - 3:36pm
I preferred the paean you offered at Cabinet the other day. That was even more full-throat-ed sycophancy. That was… https://t.co/GQPgnR2g9J

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Friday Jun 16 - 1:48pm
Burglars had been doing their evil deeds at the DNC at least twice before June 18. 1st burglars ever to have a... https://t.co/zKqdE3PRLO

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Friday Jun 16 - 1:48pm
Burglars had been doing their evil deeds at the DNC at least twice before June 18. 1st burglars ever to have a pre-… https://t.co/vGWv4eOrk0

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Jun 15 - 6:04pm
RT @SteveBattaglio: .@LarrySabato @carlbernstein @HardballChris join me in the #Watergate way-back machine in today's @latimes https://t.co

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Jun 15 - 10:37am
RT @BBCBreaking: Father of US student Otto Warmbier, freed from N Korea, says he does not believe regime's explanation for his coma https:/…

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Jun 15 - 9:28am
Are there to be no consequences for North Korea's brutal, inhuman treatment of Otto Warmbier?

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Jun 15 - 9:24am
Thanks to those who've expressed concern about Otto Warmbier. If you'd like to send a note to his family, go here: https://t.co/GK9M1xEx6Q

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Jun 13 - 10:37pm
2014 was an anti-Obama year--the wind was at Gillespie's back. 2017 may well be an anti-Trump year--the wind in... https://t.co/4iZk58OTKD

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Jun 13 - 10:37pm
2014 was an anti-Obama year--the wind was at Gillespie's back. 2017 may well be an anti-Trump year--the wind in Gil… https://t.co/KQF8EhuzmH

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Jun 13 - 10:25pm
So Gillespie's won--very narrowly, about 1% over Corey Stewart. He'll take it, of course, but it's not much of a victory. Very disappointing

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Jun 13 - 9:55pm
VA D turnout about 500,000 (a record). VA R turnout about 350,000. Ds Northam & Fairfax swept; Rs Gillespie(?) & Vogel squeaked. Ds happy.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Jun 13 - 8:56pm
.@kkondik got it right on Stewart in this WaPo story -- https://t.co/buMjFA00xJ

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Jun 13 - 8:47pm
Only if he's sane. https://t.co/50Gbi7Oc9n

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Jun 13 - 8:34pm
One of many top reasons for our initial (and immediate) Lean D rating for VA GOV is the heavy GOP burden of Trump--deeply unpopular in VA.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Jun 13 - 8:32pm
Ratings change: VA-GOV goes from Toss-up to Leans D as Lt. Gov. Northam awaits his general election foe. More to come in Crystal Ball

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Jun 13 - 8:22pm
VA GOP is in trouble again. Heavy frontrunner Gillespie is struggling, barely ahead of Stewart. Too soon to call. Good news for Northam.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Jun 13 - 8:17pm
Partly, VA GOV(D) primary was national Ds v state Ds. So this is a big win for state D officials, who almost unanimously backed Northam.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Jun 13 - 8:12pm
Lt. Gov. Ralph Northam wins VA GOV (D). Not even vaguely close. Boy, were the polls wrong AGAIN. (Except Northam's pollster).

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Jun 13 - 7:00pm
Polls just closed in the #VAGov primary. Follow @geoffreyvs & @kkondik for plenty of analysis as Election Night wears on!

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Jun 13 - 6:45pm
Botulism? Try beatings. From the NYTimes:'Intelligence reports indicate Warmbier had been repeatedly beaten while in North Korean custody.'

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Jun 13 - 6:04pm
Welcome back, Otto. https://t.co/wtRzJsULaI


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Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Jun 13 - 5:41pm
“We want the world to know how we and our son have been brutalized and terrorized by the pariah regime” in NKorea https://t.co/L71OoSh56J

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Jun 13 - 5:16pm
Sessions reminds me a bit of Nixon's advice to aides:"You can say 'I can't recall. I can't give any answer to that that I [can't] recall.'"

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Jun 13 - 1:47pm
Gallup 3-day average has Trump at 60% disapproval (new high),36% approve. Puzzling. Just yesterday Trump was at 100% approval from Cabinet.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Jun 13 - 10:51am
Once again, North Korea has a lot to answer for. Inhuman treatment of Otto Warmbier. #NeverForget

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Jun 13 - 10:09am
To the family of Otto Warmbier: We'll stay with you all the way for the challenges ahead. Reach out to us anytime.https://t.co/lmGi53X0pm

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Jun 13 - 8:05am
Firing Mueller is as likely as Trump's 'tapes' are real. But if Trump does fire Mueller, impeachment efforts will get a rocket boost.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Monday Jun 12 - 1:11pm
Mueller has earned deep and lasting respect from his colleagues over the years--which is more than you can say for… https://t.co/nKaUZk7JVd

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Sunday Jun 11 - 3:45pm
We're all proud of you, Tiki. https://t.co/zFaSalZNSg

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Friday Jun 9 - 10:00pm
RT @justinjm1: If Comey is lying to hurt Trump, why would he tell the truth about telling Trump he's not under investigation three times? 🤔

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Friday Jun 9 - 8:24pm
Still stunned about the UK election results? Read this. Jeremy Corbyn’s Achievement https://t.co/vB9JSUmMFa via @JohnCassidy

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Friday Jun 9 - 2:12pm
Even if that's true in whole or part, one guy is now a private citizen and the other--who's been caught in many a... https://t.co/8fMVZutK6g

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Friday Jun 9 - 2:11pm
Even if that's true in whole or part, one guy is now a private citizen and the other--who's been caught in many a l… https://t.co/XdgwRi1MlO

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Friday Jun 9 - 10:33am
Marvelously Orwellian and Nixonian, but needs a P.S.: "I am not a crook." https://t.co/9RHpThDrjb

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Thursday Jun 8 - 2:15pm
RT @geoffreyvs: Here are all the contested party primaries for #VAGov in state history, going back to 1905's inaugural D contest. https://t…

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Thursday Jun 8 - 1:23pm
Sarah Huckabee Sanders just said:"The President is not a liar." She was the 1 claiming loads of FBI ppl contacted her to back Comey firing.

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Thursday Jun 8 - 1:22pm
RT @geoffreyvs: Clean your Comey-laced palate by reading my preview of the #VAGov primary, which happens June 13. https://t.co/3Do1Q36qls h…

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Thursday Jun 8 - 12:25pm
The chances that Comey is telling the truth and Trump has lied are close to 100%. Partisanship shouldn't blind people to the obvious.

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Thursday Jun 8 - 9:52am
RT @geoffreyvs: Before Comey starts talking, read my #VAGov primary preview, complete with a precinct map of the '16 D pres primary. https:…

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Thursday Jun 8 - 6:01am
Crystal Ball: Our preview of the June 13 Virginia primaries, highlighted by a Democratic donnybrook in the... https://t.co/WogMi9RHfB

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Wednesday Jun 7 - 12:12pm
A new kind of Blue Flu! But this is something Red, Blue, and Purple will watch. https://t.co/6brxQbL2FZ

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Tuesday Jun 6 - 10:40pm
RT @DanAlexander21: Here is how Donald Trump shifted kids-cancer charity money into his business: https://t.co/xo1juQKEIF

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Tuesday Jun 6 - 8:32pm
The Post has far less impact in GOP primaries. But WaPo made a surprise choice for R GOV, state Sen. Frank Wagner over Gillespie & Stewart.

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Tuesday Jun 6 - 8:30pm
One of the few newspaper endorsements that still matters is the Washington Post's in D primaries. WaPo just endorsed Northam over Perriello.

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Monday Jun 5 - 8:36pm
Just what Charlottesville doesn't need--a KKK rally. https://t.co/nMvp7NqOLV

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Sunday Jun 4 - 7:18pm
Putin just suggested to Megyn Kelly that the US "intelligence services" may have killed JFK. Could we see your old KGB files on that?

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Sunday Jun 4 - 8:02am
The sad part of it is, nobody's surprised. https://t.co/7NfXWig1PU

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Friday Jun 2 - 4:28pm
Bogart in Casablanca: "We'll always have Paris...We'd lost it...but we got it back." Day One action of next D POTUS. https://t.co/M1RPpmojUL

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Friday Jun 2 - 12:13pm
Trump got 13% of his votes from Obama'12 voters & Clinton got 4% of her (larger # of) votes from Romney'12. NeverTrump Rs didn't come thru.

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Thursday Jun 1 - 7:52pm
"There is no Planet B." Malarkey. After we finish off Earth, we can ruin Mars.

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Thursday Jun 1 - 7:50pm
Maybe if you'd taken Ivanka to another play... https://t.co/hDzkjkx00l

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Thursday Jun 1 - 4:01pm
Crystal Ball: @geoffreyvs tries to answer the question -- how many voters voted for Obama in 2012 & Trump in... https://t.co/z46SUdzfxU

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Thursday Jun 1 - 4:00pm
Crystal Ball: @geoffreyvs tries to answer the question -- how many voters voted for Obama in 2012 & Trump in 2016? https://t.co/m2vd64Ax8I

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Thursday Jun 1 - 2:35pm
RT @TheCampaignHQ: Never know an exact # but facicanting. From @LarrySabato #CrystalBall How Many Obama12-Trump16 Voters Were There? http…

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Thursday Jun 1 - 10:58am
RT @geoffreyvs: Estimates vary and people have trouble recalling past votes, but millions voted for Obama in '12 & Trump in '16. https://t.…

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Thursday Jun 1 - 9:12am
RT @geoffreyvs: How many people voted for Obama in 2012 & Trump in 2016? Different surveys suggest 6.7 to 9.2 mil, w/ imp. caveats! https:/…

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Thursday Jun 1 - 6:01am
Crystal Ball: Just how many voters backed Obama in 2012 and Trump in 2016? We use different surveys to try to... https://t.co/QYN3DUQ0oI

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Wednesday May 31 - 11:14am
I for one am thrilled that we've partnered with titans Syria and Nicaragua to deny climate change. It's the New World Order! #ParisAgreement

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Wednesday May 31 - 8:42am
The meaning of covfefe is that every Cabinet member should be closely studying the 25th Amendment.

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Wednesday May 31 - 8:40am
The meaning of covfefe is that every Cabinet member should be closely studying the 25th Amendment. https://t.co/lTE881jiQh

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Monday May 29 - 9:46am
"I'm an idealist without illusions."--John F. Kennedy. Not a bad way to approach politics in a troubling year. #JFK100

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Monday May 29 - 9:27am
Every now and then, the former Democrat in Trump takes over the body, before it inevitably retreats. https://t.co/jx6TOmfdnm

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Sunday May 28 - 2:21pm
RT @GlennThrush: 3 correctives 1) @potus created false identities to leak in the 90s 2) he loved anti-Clinton leaks/Wikileaks 3) he's been…

Larry Sabato
4 weeks ago:   Friday May 26 - 12:15pm
Special Crystal Ball: What to make of the special election in Montana? What does it say or not say about 2018? https://t.co/gNqxo8SNjS

Larry Sabato
4 weeks ago:   Thursday May 25 - 2:41pm
I still say this was the best YouTube music video on 2016. Easily offended? Don't watch. But maybe live a little.https://t.co/HYjzbLzl8D

Larry Sabato
4 weeks ago:   Thursday May 25 - 11:53am
GOP sources say Gianforte will still likely win. So House is preparing a special office for him--heavily padded with extra straight-jackets.

Larry Sabato
4 weeks ago:   Thursday May 25 - 11:50am
New @Center4Politics Reuters/Ipsos poll finds JFK & Reagan top Americans' list of "best presidents" in the modern e… https://t.co/h54ZNrjFeO

Larry Sabato
1 month ago:   Thursday May 25 - 10:54am
It's right up there on any list! https://t.co/iHjwFmFTml

Larry Sabato
1 month ago:   Thursday May 25 - 10:06am
A new @Center4Politics poll finds the public ranks JFK above recent presidents. https://t.co/1dUEvuvsG4 https://t.co/p5Rue56Z4Z


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Larry Sabato
1 month ago:   Wednesday May 24 - 10:58pm
Good news for Greg Gianforte: I've just checked and the cost of anger management counseling CAN be paid for from his campaign account.

Larry Sabato
1 month ago:   Wednesday May 24 - 10:36pm
Press brings #bodyslam on itself by posing tough questions. Try Qs like, "What's your favorite color?" "If you could be a tree, what kind?"

Larry Sabato
1 month ago:   Wednesday May 24 - 10:05pm
When you declare the press to be "the enemy of the people", physical assaults on journalists are surely justified, right? #Bodyslam

Larry Sabato
1 month ago:   Wednesday May 24 - 10:47am
Trump asks Congress for $1.6b: "I thought Mexico was going to pay for the wall. Why is this in our budget?" --Rep.Upton (R-MI). [Source: AP]

Larry Sabato
1 month ago:   Tuesday May 23 - 3:31pm
Sizing Up the 2018 Gubernatorial Map https://t.co/mUiJ2hOWQ7

Larry Sabato
1 month ago:   Tuesday May 23 - 2:11pm
RT @KevinMKruse: "President's Fans Still Fans of President" is a tired old genre. Here's one that Newsday ran on 8/1/1974. Nixon resigned…

Larry Sabato
1 month ago:   Tuesday May 23 - 12:34pm
Tomorrow POTUS meets Pope. If anyone will speak truth to power, it's @Pontifex. Give it the ol' papal try, Your Holiness.

Larry Sabato
1 month ago:   Tuesday May 23 - 12:31pm
RT @MichaelLCrick: This isn't first terrorist attack in an election. In 1979 INLA murdered Airey Neave 2 days after no confidence vote whic…