@LarrySabato


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Larry Sabato
42 minutes ago:   Thursday Apr 19 - 12:29pm
RT @geoffreyvs: Today's Crystal Ball: I wrote up an overview of the #NYGov Democratic primary for governor and reviewed some of the reasons…

Larry Sabato
42 minutes ago:   Thursday Apr 19 - 12:29pm
RT @geoffreyvs: Leading today's Crystal Ball: @WestWingReport says that history suggests that Trump's reelection chances may be in trouble…

Larry Sabato
1 hour ago:   Thursday Apr 19 - 11:23am
AZ Senate (Flake, R-retiring): If this poll is accurate, bad news for Rs and good news for Ds. Trump well down, Dem… https://t.co/iUXCewwFnz

Larry Sabato
5 hours ago:   Thursday Apr 19 - 7:29am
RT @geoffreyvs: My latest in the Crystal Ball: Gov. Andrew Cuomo is a solid favorite to win renomination, but his #NYGov D primary vs. Cynt…

Larry Sabato
5 hours ago:   Thursday Apr 19 - 7:29am
RT @kkondik: A Crystal Ball back and forth: @WestWingReport on why Trump's reelection is already in serious jeopardy https://t.co/GXksM6NNP

Larry Sabato
23 hours ago:   Wednesday Apr 18 - 1:40pm
Texas contest still Leans R, but this means there are potentially 5 GOP Senate seats in play: AZ, MS(special), NV, TN, TX.

Larry Sabato
23 hours ago:   Wednesday Apr 18 - 1:37pm
Quinnipiac Poll Shocker: TX SENATE. Sen. Ted Cruz(R) 47%, Beto O’Rourke (D) 44%.

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Tuesday Apr 17 - 9:39pm
RIP Barbara Bush, who we hosted at @Center4Politics in 2000 as part of our @YLIYouthLeaders program https://t.co/KItpBLOPIY


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Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Tuesday Apr 17 - 6:10pm
RT @jeffersonmorley: @LarrySabato @realDonaldTrump If CIA/NSA keep JFK secrets & Congress won't hold oversight hearings, only @POTUS can en…

Larry Sabato
1 day ago:   Tuesday Apr 17 - 3:22pm
@JeffersonMorley brings us up to date on #JFKfiles. As always, it's not a simple matter--unfortunately. What will… https://t.co/eYNUzrPSNA

Larry Sabato
2 days ago:   Monday Apr 16 - 9:46pm
'18 SENATE: We know the map is horrible for Ds (defending 26 of 35 seats, 8+ vulnerable Ds, only 3-4 R seats in pla… https://t.co/gkUVyESYMF

Larry Sabato
3 days ago:   Sunday Apr 15 - 2:52pm
April showers bring May flowers. April polls try men’s souls.

Larry Sabato
4 days ago:   Sunday Apr 15 - 6:40am
#JamesComey was absolutely wrong to intervene in the election just 11 days before the final voting. Violated norms… https://t.co/z6KDgBtdKs

Larry Sabato
4 days ago:   Saturday Apr 14 - 4:05pm
Unanswered question:What happens if a series of popular-vote losers occupy the White House? How long will the major… https://t.co/rczHyalsxs

Larry Sabato
4 days ago:   Saturday Apr 14 - 2:54pm
Wanted to raise my blood pressure so I checked the latest presidential tweets. Mission Accomplished!

Larry Sabato
5 days ago:   Friday Apr 13 - 3:34pm
RT @geoffreyvs: It's Friday so I made a GIF of West Virginia's partisan vote shift from 1988 to 2016. County margins are compared to the na…

Larry Sabato
6 days ago:   Friday Apr 13 - 1:06pm
Scott Pruitt Defends Use Of 1st Armored Division For Trip To Dry-Cleaner https://t.co/xEK2e7X5Xf

Larry Sabato
6 days ago:   Friday Apr 13 - 12:29pm
It's amusing to hear reporters bemoan that the salacious parts of #JamesComey's book are getting more attention tha… https://t.co/xJeWQrFr4P

Larry Sabato
6 days ago:   Friday Apr 13 - 11:11am
Strong stuff. Kakistocracy = a government of the least qualified and most unscrupulous. https://t.co/qGJV3QsIIW

Larry Sabato
6 days ago:   Friday Apr 13 - 8:38am
You don’t have to be a #JamesComey fan (I’m not) to recognize that the Boy Scout ex-FBI director is leagues more be… https://t.co/9APhxKUYKl

Larry Sabato
6 days ago:   Friday Apr 13 - 12:12am
Today, April 13, 2018 is the 275th anniversary of Thomas Jefferson’s birth. It is Founder’s Day @UVA.

Larry Sabato
6 days ago:   Thursday Apr 12 - 5:16pm
All 13 Republican candidates for Greenville seat in Congress reject U.S. Chamber of Commerce https://t.co/UMwsF1Qpil via @postandcourier

Larry Sabato
6 days ago:   Thursday Apr 12 - 5:16pm
Another sign that mainstream, Main Street Rs are on the outs in the Trump GOP. The Chamber of Commerce used to be t… https://t.co/LtyMEBnlyB

Larry Sabato
6 days ago:   Thursday Apr 12 - 4:20pm
Who's surprised? Nobody. Trump was guaranteed to get himself in more trouble by sitting down with Mueller.… https://t.co/MALyPs5JTL

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Apr 12 - 12:31pm
This is from "The Onion". It's SATIRE. Just to head off the predictable outraged tweets...

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Apr 12 - 12:31pm
This is from "The Onion". It's SATIRE. Just to head off the predictable outraged tweets...

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Apr 12 - 12:27pm
Dozens Of Black-Rubber-Clad Masochists Line Up Outside Capitol For Paul Ryan's Job https://t.co/SI04Bh1lmp

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Apr 12 - 12:27pm
Congress Reassures Nervous Zuckerberg They Won’t Actually Do Anything About This https://t.co/jDvHCx6n0E

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Thursday Apr 12 - 8:34am
RT @senorrinhatch: Anyone advising the President — in public or over the airwaves— to fire Bob Mueller does not have the President or the n…

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Wednesday Apr 11 - 10:44am
RT @PhilippeReines: Paul Ryan has decided to retire from Congress in order to spend less time with the Trump family.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Wednesday Apr 11 - 10:41am
RT @RandPaul: Promising war by tweet, insults not only the Constitution but every soldier who puts their life on the line.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Wednesday Apr 11 - 9:34am
A major shift in our Crystal Ball ratings. Paul Ryan seat in Wisconsin now a Toss Up. https://t.co/baY6fnvvXO

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Wednesday Apr 11 - 8:50am
Many are asking: Will Speaker Ryan’s retirement mean he can be less of a Trump enabler over the next 8 months? Hope springs eternal.

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Wednesday Apr 11 - 8:23am
Speaker Ryan’s retirement will be interpreted as practically conceding that the GOP will lose the House. Probably w… https://t.co/9OgM8kTwk5

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Apr 10 - 6:16pm
A big thank you to everyone who is contributing to the @Center4Politics today during #GivingToHoosDay. I salute all… https://t.co/vlMRePEIqk

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Apr 10 - 4:21pm
“We The People"...three little words, but together they form the most powerful bedrock of any republic in human his… https://t.co/3k73AEkBNj

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Apr 10 - 3:13pm
PUBLIC SUPPORTS MUELLER. New Q Poll--By 5-to-1, Americans OPPOSE firing Robert Mueller (69%-13%). Even Republicans… https://t.co/5RRFl6KfZJ

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Apr 10 - 2:59pm
What better time to send a message that you care about the health of American democracy? Every dollar you give to… https://t.co/d8uXFlkK5c

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Apr 10 - 2:43pm
Mr. Zuckerberg, the old Philly saying is 'Money talks and bullshit walks'. We'll believe you are truly repentant wh… https://t.co/5Ifua9syPf

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Apr 10 - 2:39pm
RT @HoarseWisperer: Congressman: Mr. Zuckerberg, does Facebook spy on the American people? Zuckerberg: Absolutely not... By the way, your…

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Apr 10 - 2:37pm
The Crystal Ball stays free b/c the @Center4Politics raises private money. If you follow our election updates plea… https://t.co/mZQa6xwC8E

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Apr 10 - 2:34pm
I'm tripping. And thank you! https://t.co/5LRG7njaw6

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Apr 10 - 2:15pm
About 10 people for each #Zuckerberg billion. https://t.co/sT65rxVbCl

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Apr 10 - 2:13pm
Next, David, please do a gif of West Virginia: Changed from +12% D in 1988 POTUS to +42% R in 2016. It will be psyc… https://t.co/ezyIT5Kxyr

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Apr 10 - 1:42pm
Facebook Employees Explain Daily Struggle Of Trying To Care About Company's Unethical Practices When Gig So Cushy… https://t.co/GJlhQbDtBc

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Apr 10 - 12:44pm
Dedicated @Center4Politics student interns working hard to raise money on #GivingToHoosDay. Click here to make a g… https://t.co/zjlO6PlQv5

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Apr 10 - 12:42pm
@CaneesqOC @Center4Politics Hard to fit the entire room into a single photo. Thanks for your note. https://t.co/RMRwgSBNhE


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Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Apr 10 - 12:41pm
@champton85 @Center4Politics And on the other side of the aisle... Thanks for your note. https://t.co/3MXuygEYEQ


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Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Apr 10 - 12:22pm
Dedicated @Center4Politics student interns working hard to raise money on #GivingToHoosDay. Click here to make a g… https://t.co/6KkARE2nus

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Apr 10 - 11:30am
There are many things we all can and should be doing to improve our political system. For all its flaws, government… https://t.co/SCQ9ynW75L

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Apr 10 - 9:29am
Today is #GivingToHoosDay. Please join me in supporting the @Center4Politics. Thanks to a generous donor, every con… https://t.co/YAN2LbkWI8

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Apr 10 - 8:38am
RT @Steven_Okun: Celebrating #GivingtoHoosDay with a donation to @UVA @Center4Politics with @LarrySabato @kkondik — so important to show #P

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Tuesday Apr 10 - 8:32am
FL race projected to cost $200 million, most ever for a Senate race anywhere. This is INSANE. https://t.co/f0s7jZC6uK via @politico

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Monday Apr 9 - 8:43pm
Pearl Harbor was an attack on our country. 9/11 was an attack on our country. The raid on President Trump’s lawyer… https://t.co/xEVy1ekSvR

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Monday Apr 9 - 4:53pm
Or maybe all three. #MichaelCohen https://t.co/hIdxHhWl5v

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Monday Apr 9 - 2:22pm
RT @cheddar: Managing editor for @LarrySabato's Crystal Ball @kkondik explains why the Democrats have a historically good chance at taking…

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Sunday Apr 8 - 6:06pm
How Trump thrives in ‘news deserts’ https://t.co/wAGNQKBwET via @politico

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Sunday Apr 8 - 9:20am
So Trump just criticized Putin about Syria. The lovebirds have had a spat. How ruffled are the feathers?

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Sunday Apr 8 - 8:29am
Thanks to @Yale and my longtime friend @russfeingold for a wonderful visit. Hospitality at Ben Franklin College can… https://t.co/FSmYvIZDHe

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Saturday Apr 7 - 8:22am
I don’t even drink alcohol yet I’m happy it’s #NationalBeerDay. 85 years since the death of Prohibition on April 7… https://t.co/1bHcE3W0rI

Larry Sabato
1 week ago:   Friday Apr 6 - 9:55am
RT @gelliottmorris: I’ve been diving into UVA @Center4Politics/@LarrySabato historical House ratings lately for an upcoming piece. 88% of r…

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Thursday Apr 5 - 12:58pm
Many thanks to @KatieCouric & insightful panelists Gary Gallagher, Seth Wispelwey, John Mason, Don Gathers & Zyahna… https://t.co/7EvV8QZtJy

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Thursday Apr 5 - 12:52pm
RT @geoffreyvs: In light of the new #TNSen poll showing Bredesen up 45-35 on Blackburn, the Crystal Ball is receiving some criticism of our…

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Thursday Apr 5 - 12:46pm
Felony Voting Laws Are Confusing; Activists Would Ditch Them Altogether https://t.co/5LgLVd45yY via @pewtrusts

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Wednesday Apr 4 - 6:15pm
Looking forward to this evening's second @VaFilmFest screening of 'America Inside Out' with @KatieCouric. Discussio… https://t.co/NF5enbPSKF

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Wednesday Apr 4 - 4:22pm
Thanks to @UVA @VaFilmFest for this thought provoking look at the events of August 11 and 12 in Charlottesville. https://t.co/0YRURVPefP


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Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Wednesday Apr 4 - 4:20pm
Engaging discussion of tragic events in Charlottesville last August 11&12 as covered in 'America Inside Out' with… https://t.co/aC2Ph92N0K

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Wednesday Apr 4 - 3:44pm
Thanks to Jody Kielbasa and @UVA @VaFilmFest for today's dual premiere of America Inside Out with our friend and al… https://t.co/EM7EisXqAn

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Wednesday Apr 4 - 1:59pm
This book by @geraldposner on King’s assassination is well worth reading. #MLK50 https://t.co/Wog6fxELIB

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Wednesday Apr 4 - 12:22pm
The Untapped Potential of the Asian Voter https://t.co/AQhit2o9qE

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Tuesday Apr 3 - 10:09pm
Another warning sign for the GOP in this important state. https://t.co/9jC8Pv5Vor

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Tuesday Apr 3 - 12:36pm
@geraldposner wrote a superb book on MLK's assassination, "Killing the Dream". Worth a read as we approach tomorrow… https://t.co/K6FRlueFUC

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Monday Apr 2 - 12:52pm
ARG's new poll of NH (R POTUS primary in 2020): Trump 49%, Kasich 42%. 1968 D POTUS primary results: LBJ 49%, Gene… https://t.co/gEnpb1AZzB

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Monday Apr 2 - 12:19pm
Fired Trump Staffers Hold Reunion https://t.co/04vTpaxCMr

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Monday Apr 2 - 11:41am
Yet another reason why mass shooters, to the extent possible, should be condemned to anonymity and mentioned as lit… https://t.co/VlRmAbPBxn

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Monday Apr 2 - 11:02am
Donald Trump is the new Spiro Agnew. Except this time Agnew is President. https://t.co/ILXrI7cSJK

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Monday Apr 2 - 10:57am
Mr. President, you need to change the law so that you can appoint the Attorney General and the FBI director. Oh wai… https://t.co/q8mQB9wPSj

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Saturday Mar 31 - 1:10pm
With respect to those of you claiming columnist Mike Royko coined the "Moonbeam" label, in fact Royko took it from… https://t.co/sNCL7IBcms

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Saturday Mar 31 - 10:09am
Trump is showing his age. "Moonbeam" is occasionally employed, but it hasn't been widely used as Jerry Brown's nick… https://t.co/0HYH8bRBQS

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Saturday Mar 31 - 10:06am
One footnote: Pres. William Howard Taft (R) did not appear on the Calif. ballot in 1912, incredibly. Teddy Roosevel… https://t.co/dPkMIAJClu

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Saturday Mar 31 - 10:03am
Worth remembering that Trump received 31.6% of the vote in California--the lowest % ever recorded for a Republican… https://t.co/etWQaV240X

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Friday Mar 30 - 12:50pm
Now we know where the cast of “Animal House” landed. The drinking games in this key White House office are the leas… https://t.co/110EBIrsmM

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Thursday Mar 29 - 10:57pm
This poll had the same old party breakdown we’ve come to expect: Close to 9 of 10 Rs expect Trump to win again, ver… https://t.co/4GOhuqMGPo

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Thursday Mar 29 - 10:53pm
If the 54-40% prediction of Trump defeat in 2020 reveals anything, it’s that few people have changed sides. 2016 vo… https://t.co/thnUKR6uct

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Thursday Mar 29 - 10:45pm
New poll (CNN) has respondents predicting, by 54-40%, Trump will lose reelection in 2020. In their 2nd years, Reaga… https://t.co/CeSMUcT6HC

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Thursday Mar 29 - 5:03pm
RT @bpmehlman: REPUBLICANS ARE 5X MORE FAVORABLE TOWARDS PUTIN THAN PELOSI. THAT'S NOT HEALTHY. Pelosi: 5% favorable among GOP (Mar. 2018…

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Thursday Mar 29 - 5:02pm
Trump-Approved Budget Short on Election Security, Counties Say https://t.co/w33gRJ3WBR via @pewtrusts

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Thursday Mar 29 - 2:25pm
RT @kkondik: Crystal Ball: Ted Arrington on the historic "efficiency gap" in the House - Democrats did better than their share of the vote…

Larry Sabato
2 weeks ago:   Thursday Mar 29 - 2:25pm
RT @kkondik: Crystal Ball: On the 56 open seats in the House, and the opportunity they collectively present for Democrats https://t.co/D1u2

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Tuesday Mar 27 - 9:19pm
Why is anybody surprised Stormy et al have had no effect on Trump’s poll ratings? His backers baked this into the c… https://t.co/O3bbEA83CI

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Tuesday Mar 27 - 5:29pm
Attorneys: WHAT AN OPPORTUNITY! Don't miss out on a chance to make history. {Graduates of @UVALaw should pass this… https://t.co/zmWv7rjdMD

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Tuesday Mar 27 - 11:23am
Mitch Landrieu is given this year’s JFK Profiles in Courage award. Are the Kennedys providing some fuel to Landrieu… https://t.co/LwMjND0dk9

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Tuesday Mar 27 - 10:11am
What everyone has suspected from the start. All citizens are equal, but some are more equal than others.… https://t.co/HvuAhoKq0B

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Monday Mar 26 - 7:09pm
@karper No sense holding grudges! Plus, now it all makes sense. God wanted Loyola to get that slot. Source: Sister Jean. (Wahoowa)

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Monday Mar 26 - 7:07pm
Why did 16+ women with convincing accusations of sexual harassment by Trump get less attention collectively in fall… https://t.co/XwO8nhlYpU

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Monday Mar 26 - 6:42pm
How can you argue with this? How can anyone argue with Sister Jean? https://t.co/MRt2vzg8oT

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Monday Mar 26 - 10:44am
Speaking of scratching off, Hawaii Gov. Ige looks like a goner in the D primary. US Rep. Colleen Hanabusa is up 20%… https://t.co/1Kfg73Ieie

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Monday Mar 26 - 10:35am
Remember when Mark Zuckerberg was semi-seriously included in those long lists of 2020 presidential possibilities? Y… https://t.co/ttfGLAI6AP

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Sunday Mar 25 - 7:55pm
Daniels said she didn't report it to the police. Maybe. But most people who were threatened in that fashion would (… https://t.co/PLwq2m6vHb

Larry Sabato
3 weeks ago:   Sunday Mar 25 - 7:35pm
So one of the surprises in the #60Minutes Stormy Daniels interview is an allegation that a Trump-sponsored thug thr… https://t.co/5nKPHL5iNd